Friday, May 06, 2011

Ace in the hole?

As is often the case, I get my best focus from e-mails. With slight revisions, this is my take on the bin Laden situation:

I'm thinking strangely since Sunday night, and folding a new tin-foil hat since I wrote that last blog post about what a "mistake" it was to dump Osama's body.

Here's a notion for you:

What if bin Laden has been an "ace in the hole" since, say, 2007? Word is beginning to leak out that there was a CIA "safe house" nearby the Abbottabad mansion, although the time frame isn't specific yet. We're taking it as a given that the Pakis knew Osama was "hiding in plain sight" and the common belief is that they didn't mention it to us out of sheer obstinacy and bet-hedging.

What if they were cooperating with us the whole time? Emerging details suggest that Osama was under a form of house-arrest since the compound was [mostly] completed and he moved in. Like Howard Hughes, it is being suggested that he never left the top floors of the main building. One "common tater" went so far as to state bin Laden had constructed his own prison.

Is it even plausible that the Paki ISI was holding him under a form of "house arrest" for the past few years? Let's pre-date this notion to GWB's administration; bin Laden was under control, his whereabouts were known, and his continued communication with the outside world was constantly monitored and mined for information yields. Let's assume that GWB was too decent to play the trump card and order the trigger pulled; he was already in his second term by the time Osama was corralled in Pakistan. The cooperation of Pervert Mushrat and the Pakis was more vital than pressuring them into a quick turn-over or a midnight double-tap.

So, bin Laden becomes a Bush inheritance that The Red Herring can't snivel about. His value as an intelligence asset is enormous; he's still allowed to release his ranting audio tapes, and communicate with his acolytes. It's a win-win; the bad boy is right where we want him, and we are tracking his people down every time he reaches out to touch someone. As long as he doesn't leave the compound, he can carry on as a little tin god, and can be snuffed if/when political exigencies demand it. GWB is secure enough with his place in history, his ego, and the insulting allegations of The Far Left that he's too stupid to find Osama. Let's assume Bush knew exactly where he was, but kept his finger off the trigger because he's seen "The Man Who Shot Liberty Valance" and decided he had nothing to gain.

When The Manchurian Candidate takes office, he gets the information in that legendary classified "inauguration" notebook that bin Laden is a husbanded asset in Pakistan. Suggestions were made for years that Osama was hiding out there somewhere. The fact that he was under house-arrest in Abottabad was a closely-held secret. The Red Herring does nothing besides his public pronouncement that it's "priority number one" that bin Laden be apprehended.

Then Bobama's approval ratings hit record lows. The economy is getting worse, and Donald Trump is giving him hell about that pesky birth certificate. Trump is a wild card; he has enough money to pay investigators indefinitely on the "birther" issue. So, The Red Herring collects on the quid pro quo he spelled out to Leon Panetta upon naming him DCI [Director of Central Intelligence]; dig that agency-forged document out of your desk drawer, and collect your bump to Secretary of Defense.

The approval ratings remain unchanged, as does the belief index. 68% of people still believe Bobama is a socialist, and 34% still think he's a closet Muslim. Time for drastic action...

BOOM! Osama bin Laden is dead. He's given an ostensible hurry-up DNA test, a ritual cleansing and a hasty burial at sea "according to Islamic tradition" even though he's a poster-boy heretic. Bin Laden knew he was a dead man walking from the moment the first plane struck the WTC; why not become a martyr so the greatest sleeper agent in Islamic history can continue his calculated destruction of Great Satan America? The Manchurian Candidate is in a position to cause much more long-term damage than Osama ever could, and a re-election might just be the impetus required to push the nation over the brink into dhimmitude. Re-election frees up The Manchurian Candidate to promote his true agenda, and if a nine-point ratings boost can be sustained, along with the propaganda legend of "the man who killed Osama bin Laden", it's another win-win situation. Bin Laden wanted a final walk in the sun; his legend is he went out like a gunfighter, shoving his fifth wife at the SEALs while he ducked for cover. Bobama's legend is that he killed the most despised man of the 21st century. Losing the body, and the appeasement of not releasing a death photo, just enhances Bobama's legend and conveniently covers the facts.

For all I know, the SEALs threw a black bag over bin Laden's head, and he's being waterboarded at Gitmo as I write this. I'm sticking to the "ace in the hole" supposition until I see a photo of bin Laden's brain leaking onto the deck. The true believers will never buy any of this, and I know chapter and verse about matching meta-data in PhotoShop™ and CGI, so the skeptics will always have something to gripe about regarding verification, and the most clever forgery might be detected if a photo is released. The whole appeasement business about not releasing some sort of photo is suspect, and dumping Osama into the ocean after a 45-minute "Islamic burial ritual" is starting to sound fishy. [No pun intended...or maybe it was.]

By the way, the tail section of that super-Blackhawk is a moot point. By now, the Chinese have taken it apart, re-assembled it, and are reverse-engineering the technology. We'll get it back in a public display of "cooperation" by the Pakis. The real "cooperation" was that they kept bin Laden on a short leash for years. Their current mantra is "don't do that again" regarding the raid, but they knew at the highest levels that one day a kill team would walk into Osama's mansion and stop his clock. The "borrowed" SEALs may think the mission was a straightforward raid, and only the agency tag-along who actually pulled the trigger knew better. One in the face and a good-bye shot in the X-ring is my sort of professionalism.

Bobama's played his ace, and he better hope no one calls him on it.

That's my story, and I'm sticking to it. (I don't even want to raise the sticky Constitutional question of the president being able to order the murder of anyone the "democratic" lynch mob considers worthy of death; I think the French Revolution gave us a good example of where that road ends.)

I have my tin-foil hat firmly in place, and am immune to alien orders. I hope I see something forthcoming that'll convince me I'm in need of therapy, but until our "transparent" leadership does something affirmative, I thought I'd float the notion.

6 Comments:

Blogger Bunny said...

You may well be closer to "the target" than any of the other theories I've been reading from various sources. It'll be interesting to see how it all plays out, given the constantly changing stories coming from the administration. Rush Limbaugh said today that Obama killed bin Laden, but WE are all getting the 72 versions. Heh...

May 06, 2011 10:23 PM  
Blogger Robert said...

Nice pun. I like it.

I think I'm crazy, but I have 30 years of empirical experience to back up my suppositions.

As Jerry Seinfeld said: "...that's just me."

May 06, 2011 10:42 PM  
Blogger Bunny said...

"Not that there's anything wrong with that..." ;-)

May 06, 2011 10:58 PM  
Blogger Hawkeye® said...

If your theory is true, then I would have to give especially high marks to GWB for intestinal fortitude. After claiming he wanted OBL "dead or alive", I don't think I would have been able to simply ignore him.

I'm leaning towards the notion that the Pakis have been playing us for fools all along. We have paying them (and paying them well) to help us find OBL. They probably worried that if they turned him over to us, the gravy train would end. Greedy b...

(:D) Never mind.

May 07, 2011 4:32 PM  
Blogger Robert said...

Despite all the "chimp" insults, GWB is plenty smart, and would have surrendered simple "cowboy" vengeance for the greater good, i.e. the intelligence gold mine and long-term destruction of Al Qaeda resulting from constant monitoring of bin Laden's communications. I think this business about not identifying the [now conveniently dead] courier right away is a smokescreen. CIA didn't need to "turn" an underling, because they knew where bin Laden was for the last 4-5 years. GWB is no fool, and would have passed on the visceral satisfaction of offing a single bastard in exchange for snuffing dozens of them.

Continued aid to the Pakis at current levels will give us a hint. If it's cut, my notion may be just hot air. If there's some obligatory "harsh words" and they continue to collect the billions we're sending them, they might be complicit in this little scenario.

May 07, 2011 10:24 PM  
Blogger camojack said...

Theories abound.

I still would have liked it better if his head was displayed on a pike at Ground Zero...

May 09, 2011 12:16 AM  

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